---
title: What is fueling property optimism?
description: Market momentum returns post-election with Melbourne home values rising and first-home buyers driving demand. Discover key trends and policy shifts shaping Victoria's property market.
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# What is fueling property optimism?

Market momentum returns post-election with Melbourne home values rising and first-home buyers driving demand. Discover key trends and policy shifts shaping Victoria's property market.

[Leigh McConnon](https://site.buyersadvocate.com.au/blog/author/leigh-mcconnon)

 Jun 5, 2025

---

 

Key Market Activity Highlights

- Melbourne home values have now increased every month in 2025, with units leading the rebound—up 5.9% since February in some inner-city areas.
- Despite gains, prices remain 5.4% below the March 2022 peak, indicating significant upside potential for long-term buyers.
- Outer suburbs such as Tarneit, Melton South, and Clyde North are attracting interest from first-home buyers and investors due to affordability and infrastructure investment.

Structural Shifts & Government Activity

Planning reform and housing policy are at the forefront of Victoria’s property landscape:

- The government has rebranded the Suburban Rail Loop as a housing-enabler, projecting 70,000 new homes along the corridor.
- Fast-tracking of planning permits is underway, with a focus on making Victoria the “townhouse capital” of Australia.
- Stamp duty concessions on off-the-plan purchases have been extended until October 2026, offering buyers savings of up to $28,000 on a $620K property.

However, investor confidence has been dented by the COVID Debt Levy, which is effectively doubling annual land tax on some homes. Some properties worth $1M+ are facing extra tax burdens of $10,000+ annually.

Rental Market & Investor Trends

While rental growth nationally has slowed to 3.1% annually, rental values hit a record high in March.

In Victoria:

- Rent growth expectations have been revised slightly downward to 2.2% in the next 12 months.
- Investor activity remains low, with local investors accounting for just 9.1% of sales—the lowest of all states.
- Interestingly, first-home buyer activity in Victoria is the highest in the country (37.6%), signaling a new generation entering the market as conditions stabilise.

The Road Ahead

Expect continued signs of stabilisation and modest price growth through the second half of 2025. NAB forecasts a +2.3% increase in Melbourne prices this year, accelerating to +5.5% in 2026. With more rate cuts forecast and buyer sentiment improving, Victoria appears to be transitioning into the next growth phase—but selectively and with some caution.

<https://site.buyersadvocate.com.au/blog/insights-0>

### [Insights](https://site.buyersadvocate.com.au/blog/insights-0)

Australian home values rise in March, driven by improved sentiment and lower interest rate expectations, with regional markets outpacing capitals....

 Leigh McConnon  Apr 7, 2025

<https://site.buyersadvocate.com.au/blog/vendor-advocacy-service-draft>

### [July Vendor Advocacy Update](https://site.buyersadvocate.com.au/blog/vendor-advocacy-service-draft)

Explore how our vendor advocacy service enhances your home selling process with expert advice, professional management, and top-tier marketing for...

 Leigh McConnon  Jul 7, 2025

<https://site.buyersadvocate.com.au/blog/august-vendor-advocacy-update-clone>

### [August Vendor Advocacy Update](https://site.buyersadvocate.com.au/blog/august-vendor-advocacy-update-clone)

Learn how our vendor advocacy service enhances your home selling process with strategic advice, professional management, and effective marketing for...

 Leigh McConnon  Aug 8, 2025

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